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James Talarico’s Chances of Beating Ken Paxton in Texas Get Boost—Poll

James Talarico’s Chances of Beating Ken Paxton in Texas Get Boost—Poll

Summary

A recent poll shows Democratic state Representative James Talarico leading Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton by 3 points in the upcoming U.S. Senate race. The poll suggests a competitive race despite Texas usually favoring Republicans, with Talarico gaining support from independents and Latino voters.

Key Facts

  • James Talarico leads Ken Paxton 47% to 44% in the latest Texas U.S. Senate poll.
  • Among independent voters, Talarico leads 52% to 34%.
  • Talarico also leads Latino voters 51% to 41%.
  • Talarico is viewed more favorably (41%) than Paxton (34%) by Texans surveyed.
  • Republican Governor Greg Abbott is ahead of Democrat Gina Hinojosa by 5 points in the governor’s race.
  • The poll surveyed 807 likely voters from June 1-4, 2026, with a 4% margin of error.
  • Democrats see potential gains as suburban areas shift politically and President Trump’s popularity declines.
  • Ken Paxton faces political challenges, including a 2023 impeachment that concerns some Republican voters.
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