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Map Shows States to Be Hit Hardest by Social Security Funding Shortfall

Map Shows States to Be Hit Hardest by Social Security Funding Shortfall

Summary

A key Social Security fund that pays retirement benefits is expected to run out of money by 2032, a year earlier than thought before. This could cause benefit cuts, especially affecting states with many older people who rely heavily on Social Security income.

Key Facts

  • The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund provides most Social Security retirement and survivor benefits.
  • The fund is mainly paid for by payroll taxes from workers and employers.
  • Social Security is currently paying out more than it collects, using up its reserve savings.
  • The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects the OASI fund will be depleted by 2032.
  • After depletion, tax income would only cover about 75% of scheduled benefits, leading to cuts without new laws.
  • The broader Social Security system, including disability benefits, may run out by 2034.
  • Aging population, lower birth rates, and slower workforce growth reduce the number of workers paying into the system.
  • Older, lower-income, and rural states with many benefit recipients will be hit hardest by benefit reductions.
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