Summary
Timothée Chalamet's chances of winning the Best Actor Oscar have dropped sharply just before the awards ceremony. Michael B. Jordan is now the favorite to win for his role in "Sinners" after he received the Best Actor award at the SAG Awards.
Key Facts
- Timothée Chalamet starred in a movie called "Marty Supreme," which got good reviews and made him a top contender for the Best Actor Oscar.
- Two months ago, Chalamet had a 78% chance of winning the Best Actor award.
- Michael B. Jordan's performance in "Sinners" has shifted odds after he won Best Actor at the SAG Awards.
- The SAG Awards are a good indicator of who might win at the Oscars because the voters for both awards overlap.
- Michael B. Jordan now has a 61% chance of winning Best Actor.
- Chalamet's chances have dropped below 30% for the first time in 2026.
