Summary
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is leading as a likely candidate for the 2028 presidential election, surpassing Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom and Vice President JD Vance in prediction markets. His foreign policy work, including significant geopolitical actions, has increased his popularity. While Rubio gains ground, Republican primary polls still show Vance as the favored candidate among voters.
Key Facts
- Marco Rubio is currently in the lead for the 2028 presidential race, ahead of Gavin Newsom and JD Vance.
- Rubio's odds have increased significantly due to his involvement in major global political actions.
- President Trump cannot run in 2028 because of the two-term limit.
- Rubio and Vance are the main contenders in the Republican party, with Newsom leading on the Democratic side.
- On the prediction market Kalshi, Rubio has 20% support, surpassing both Newsom and Vance.
- On Polymarket, JD Vance leads with 21% support, while Rubio's support has increased to 15%.
- Rubio has expressed support for Vance running for president, despite increasing his own odds.
- Recent Emerson College polling shows Vance leading in Republican primary support over Rubio.