Summary
A poll shows Ken Paxton leading John Cornyn by 3 points in the Texas GOP Senate primary. The primary runoff will decide who faces Democratic nominee James Talarico in November. President Trump's potential endorsement could significantly impact the race outcome.
Key Facts
- Ken Paxton is 3 points ahead of John Cornyn in the Texas GOP Senate primary according to a Change Research poll.
- The runoff will occur on May 26 to determine the Republican candidate.
- Paxton has 42% support, Cornyn has 39%, and 16% of voters are undecided.
- President Trump's endorsement could swing support, with Paxton potentially leading 50% to 40% or Cornyn 44% to 41%, depending on who receives it.
- The poll included 811 potential voters, with a 3.5% margin of error, conducted from March 17 to March 19, 2026.
- Another poll by Public Policy Polling shows Paxton leading 45% to 42% with a 4.1% margin of error.
- Paxton has a favorability rating of 49%, while Cornyn has 40%.
