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NOAA’s New Hurricane Cone for 2026: What the Forecast Changes Mean

NOAA’s New Hurricane Cone for 2026: What the Forecast Changes Mean

Summary

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) announced new updates for hurricane forecasts starting in 2026. These updates include improved graphics showing a wider range of forecast paths and expanded storm surge warnings for Hawaii.

Key Facts

  • The NHC will add inland watches and warnings to the hurricane forecast cone.
  • Storm surge alerts will expand to include Hawaii for the first time.
  • A new, experimental forecast cone will show more of the possible storm paths, covering 90% of scenarios instead of the previous 67%.
  • The new forecast graphics will be available on Hurricanes.gov starting in 2026.
  • Updates aim to improve preparation and communication for communities affected by hurricanes.
  • The new forecast cone will reflect forecast error trends and will be slightly smaller based on recent improvements.
  • Storm surge forecasts will provide predictions for water levels within 72 hours of a hurricane's impact.
  • Technical issues may affect the new graphics' availability during the initial testing phase.

Source Information