Summary
Democrats have improved their chances of winning 11 House races, according to The Center for Politics Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Changes in election ratings suggest stronger Democratic positions in several districts, some of which moved to more secure categories for Democrats. The House elections will occur in November 2026, with all 435 seats up for grabs.
Key Facts
- The Center for Politics changed the rating for 11 House races to favor Democrats.
- Eight races went from “likely Democratic” to “safe Democratic.”
- Two races moved from “leans Democratic” to “likely Democratic.”
- One race, Ohio's 1st District, changed from a “toss-up” to “leans Democratic.”
- Every two years, all 435 House seats are up for election; Republicans currently hold the majority.
- Democrats recently won special elections in Florida, increasing their election optimism.
- The Cook Political Report lists 207 seats as likely Democratic and 201 as likely Republican.
- Changes are part of redistricting and past voting patterns, with some districts having been won by President Trump or Vice President Harris in previous elections.
