Summary
A new poll shows that Republicans currently have an edge in the 2026 Florida governor's race, but the competition is close. Democrat David Jolly, formerly a Republican, is a key contender against Republican Byron Donalds.
Key Facts
- The poll was done by Emerson College and surveyed 1,125 likely voters between March 29-31, 2026.
- In a potential election, Byron Donalds leads with 44% over David Jolly's 39%, while 15% are undecided.
- The poll’s credibility interval (similar to margin of error) is +/- 2.8%.
- A separate matchup between Jolly and Casey DeSantis shows Jolly at 40% and DeSantis at 39%.
- Republicans show more unity, with Donalds leading the GOP primary at 46% and Jay Collins at 4%.
- The Democratic primary is less clear, with Jolly at 21% and Jerry Demings at 10%, and 53% of voters undecided.
- The poll highlights that Hispanic voters in Florida are nearly evenly split between Donalds and Jolly.
- In other races, GOP Senator Ashley Moody leads against Democratic opponents.
