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What 2026 Super El Niño Could Mean For Hurricane Season

What 2026 Super El Niño Could Mean For Hurricane Season

Summary

Meteorologists predict a potential "super" El Niño could affect the 2026 hurricane season. El Niño occurs when Pacific Ocean waters warm more than usual, which can lead to fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic but more in the Pacific.

Key Facts

  • El Niño is a natural climate pattern that makes Pacific Ocean waters warmer.
  • A "super" El Niño means water temperatures are even higher, at least 2 degrees Celsius above normal.
  • El Niño conditions are linked to fewer hurricanes in the western Atlantic Ocean.
  • More hurricanes and tropical storms are expected in the eastern and central Pacific during El Niño.
  • El Niño can lead to drier and warmer weather in northern parts of the U.S. and Canada.
  • Wetter conditions are often seen in the southern U.S. during El Niño.
  • A forecast indicated a 75% chance of a super El Niño by October 2026.
  • The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, while the Pacific's starts on May 15.

Source Information