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Viktor Orban Gets Worrying Sign From Most Accurate Pollster

Viktor Orban Gets Worrying Sign From Most Accurate Pollster

Summary

A recent poll by AtlasIntel shows Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's party trailing behind the opposition Tisza party before the 2026 parliamentary elections. The survey suggests Tisza, led by Péter Magyar, has more public support than Orbán’s ruling Fidesz party.

Key Facts

  • The poll was conducted by AtlasIntel, known for its accuracy in elections.
  • It surveyed 1,587 Hungarian adults between April 5 and April 10, 2026.
  • The results show Tisza party at 52.1 percent, and Fidesz at 39.3 percent.
  • Péter Magyar leads Orbán in suitability for prime minister, with 48.7 percent support.
  • The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points and a 95 percent confidence level.
  • AtlasIntel was highly rated by Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight for overall accuracy.
  • Current prediction markets show Orbán with a lower chance of re-election compared to earlier polling data.

Source Information