Summary
Two prediction market websites suggest there is a more than 50% chance that U.S. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito will retire before the end of the year. Justice Alito has not announced any retirement plans. The Supreme Court currently has a conservative majority, with three justices appointed by President Trump.
Key Facts
- Prediction websites Kalshi and Polymarket estimate over a 50% chance of Alito retiring by the end of the year.
- Alito, 76, has not publicly confirmed any retirement plans.
- Alito was appointed to the Supreme Court by President George W. Bush in 2005.
- The Supreme Court has a 6-3 conservative majority, with three justices appointed by President Trump.
- President Trump expressed hope that Justices Clarence Thomas and Alito will remain on the court.
- Alito fell ill last month but returned to work shortly after.
- Alito's new book, "So Ordered," is set to release on October 6.
- Alito has not completed hiring his usual number of law clerks but is interviewing candidates.
