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Tom Steyer’s Chances of Becoming California Governor After Swalwell Exits

Tom Steyer’s Chances of Becoming California Governor After Swalwell Exits

Summary

Tom Steyer has become the leading candidate for the California governor's race following Eric Swalwell's exit due to allegations of misconduct. Prediction markets show Steyer with a strong lead over other candidates as the primary election approaches in June 2026.

Key Facts

  • Tom Steyer is now the favorite in the California governor's race after Eric Swalwell dropped out.
  • Swalwell exited the race and announced his resignation from Congress following sexual misconduct allegations.
  • Prediction markets reflect Steyer's rise, showing him with a significant lead over other candidates Matt Mahan and Katie Porter.
  • On Polymarket, Steyer's odds increased to about 59% from 6.3% a few weeks ago.
  • Kalshi shows similar numbers, with Steyer at approximately 55%.
  • Both prediction markets report high trading volumes, indicating strong interest in the race.
  • If elected, Steyer would become one of the few billionaire governors in the U.S.
  • California's primary election is set for June 2, 2026, with early voting starting on May 4.

Source Information