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Average 2026 tax refunds up, but well below Trump’s expectations

Average 2026 tax refunds up, but well below Trump’s expectations

Summary

Average tax refund amounts for 2026 are expected to increase by 11 percent compared to 2025, reaching $3,462. However, this amount is still much lower than what President Trump expected after signing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which provides new tax breaks for Americans.

Key Facts

  • The average tax refund for 2026 is projected to be $3,462.
  • This is an 11 percent increase from the 2025 average refund of $3,116.
  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed into law last year.
  • The Act introduced new tax breaks for American taxpayers.
  • Despite the increases, refunds are still below President Trump’s original expectations.

Source Information