Democrats' Chances of Winning Virginia Redistricting Battle—Polls
Summary
Virginia voters will decide in a special election on April 21 whether to approve a redistricting plan that would create new congressional maps favoring Democrats. Polls show a close race, with support slightly above half, and the outcome could impact the number of Democratic seats in the 2026 midterm elections.Key Facts
- The referendum proposes new voting district maps that could help Democrats gain up to four seats in the U.S. House of Representatives.
- The special election is set for Tuesday, April 21, 2024.
- Polls from Quantus Insights and The Washington Post/George Mason University show about 51-52% of likely voters support the referendum.
- An earlier poll from Roanoke College showed more voters opposed the referendum in February.
- Virginia Democrats want to neutralize Republican gains made after states like Texas redrew maps favoring GOP candidates.
- If approved, the new maps could change currently Republican-held districts, including areas represented by Jen Kiggans and Rob Wittman.
- The referendum’s result could shape the political landscape for the 2026 midterm election.
- The vote is competitive because voters are considering the fairness and partisan balance of the new maps.
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