A Democrat Winning in Trump Country—Why Isn't Andy Beshear a 2028 Favorite?
Summary
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear is a popular Democrat who won statewide office twice in a state that strongly supports President Donald Trump. Despite his success and high approval ratings, Beshear has very low support and recognition among Democrats as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.Key Facts
- Andy Beshear won two terms as governor in Kentucky, a state where President Trump won by about 30 points.
- Beshear has a 65 percent approval rating, the highest among Democratic governors in the U.S.
- In recent polls, only about 2 percent of Democratic primary voters supported Beshear for president in 2028.
- A poll found 70 percent of Democrats had never heard of Beshear.
- Experts say early popularity in polls does not always predict who will win presidential primaries.
- Beshear won close elections in 2019 and 2023, improving his margin in the second race significantly.
- He vetoed controversial anti-LGBTQ+ bills, showing willingness to take unpopular stands for his values.
- Analysts say a winning Democratic presidential candidate needs to appeal to about 60 percent of moderate voters nationwide.
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