Is There Any Chance Fernando Mendoza Doesn’t Go No. 1 in the NFL Draft?
Summary
Fernando Mendoza is expected to be the first player picked in the 2026 NFL Draft by the Las Vegas Raiders. His chances of going No. 1 have steadily increased, reaching 99% just days before the draft.Key Facts
- The 2026 NFL Draft will take place in Pittsburgh in a few days.
- Fernando Mendoza is a quarterback from Indiana University and won the Heisman Award.
- He led Indiana to a national title, increasing his draft stock.
- Early in the season, Mendoza had only a 5% chance to be picked first.
- By October, his chances rose to over 30%, and by November to 42%.
- Before the national title game, his probability reached about 90%.
- On the day before the draft, Mendoza’s odds hit 99% on the prediction website Kalshi.
- Mendoza has been reportedly working with the Raiders' coaches on their offense before the official draft.
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