Putin’s Real Fear Isn’t NATO—It’s Demobilization | Opinion
Summary
Russia’s main fear in the war with Ukraine is not NATO or territory, but the instability that could come from ending the war. President Vladimir Putin relies on war to keep control inside Russia by creating fear and military unity. Ending the war would release many soldiers back to society and harm Russia’s economy, which could threaten Putin’s power.Key Facts
- Putin fears internal problems in Russia more than NATO or border changes.
- The war helps Putin maintain control by uniting people against an external enemy.
- Ending the war could cause political unrest because many soldiers would return home with trauma.
- Russia’s economy relies heavily on military spending, which may not be sustainable long-term.
- The Soviet Union experienced similar issues after its war in Afghanistan, leading to social and political instability.
- USSR veterans of that war became active in political dissent and social movements.
- Foreign policy in Russia often supports domestic control by creating external threats.
- Ukraine has made some concessions during negotiations, but Russia has not.
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