Uncommon Knowledge: The Missing Bombers of Trump 2.0
Summary
During World War II, statisticians discovered that the damage seen on returning bombers was not where extra protection was needed; instead, areas without visible damage were more critical. This idea, called survivorship bias, is used to explain hidden issues in President Donald Trump’s second term, such as reduced international visits, lower foreign student numbers, and diminished government programs.Key Facts
- During WWII, Abraham Wald found that bombers missing damage in certain areas were actually lost, showing the limits of visible data.
- President Trump’s second term shows visible conflicts like tariff wars and fights with the Supreme Court.
- There are less obvious impacts, such as fewer Canadian visits to the U.S., down 22% in January 2026 compared to the previous year.
- Canadian car trips to and from the U.S. have declined significantly, reflecting political tensions.
- Trade has been affected: several China-U.S. shipping routes were cut due to Trump’s tariffs reducing demand.
- International student enrollment in U.S. universities fell by 17% in Fall 2025, causing over $1.1 billion in lost revenue and nearly 23,000 fewer jobs.
- The Trump administration reduced the federal workforce and dismantled some government agencies like USAID.
- Critics say these changes weaken American government and reduce the country’s influence globally.
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