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Democrats Edge Out Republican Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate Race Poll

Democrats Edge Out Republican Ashley Hinson in Iowa Senate Race Poll

Summary

A recent poll shows two Democratic candidates, Josh Turek and Zach Wahls, slightly leading Republican Ashley Hinson in the race for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat. The seat opened after Senator Joni Ernst announced she would not run for reelection, and the Iowa primary election is scheduled for June 2.

Key Facts

  • The poll surveyed 377 Iowa voters and found both Democrats at 46% support, with Hinson at 44%.
  • About 9-10% of voters remain undecided in the race between the Democrats and Hinson.
  • Senator Joni Ernst, who will not seek reelection, first won election as Iowa’s first woman in Congress.
  • Ashley Hinson is a Republican U.S. Representative and received an endorsement from President Donald Trump in September 2025.
  • Josh Turek is a Paralympic gold medalist and state House member; Zach Wahls is a state senator and former minority leader in the Iowa Senate.
  • An earlier poll with a larger sample showed Hinson slightly ahead of the Democrats.
  • Iowa voters also show a majority favoring Democrat Rob Sand for governor over Republican Randy Feenstra.
  • The Cook Political Report rates the Iowa Senate race as “likely Republican.”
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