Trump's Approval Rating Compared to Predecessors Facing Midterm Elections
Summary
President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped below 40 percent ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. His current popularity is lower than that of recent presidents at similar times before midterms, making him the second-most-unpopular president out of the past nine midterm periods.Key Facts
- Trump’s approval rating is under 40 percent, according to Nate Silver’s analysis.
- This rating is lower than Trump’s approval before the 2018 midterms, when Democrats gained many House seats.
- The Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in the House (217-214) and the Senate (53-47).
- The only president less popular before midterms was George W. Bush in 2006, with about 34-35 percent approval.
- Typically, the party not holding the presidency gains seats in midterm elections.
- Trump is no longer fully supported by some important figures in his own party but still has many supporters.
- President Biden’s approval rating was around 38-41 percent in the months before recent midterms.
- The political situation may change due to ongoing events like the war in Iran and new domestic policies.
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