Trump’s war has backfired spectacularly: Iran is now more influential than ever | Fawaz Gerges
Summary
President Donald Trump’s war against Iran has not met its goals and has changed the Middle East in unexpected ways. Instead of weakening Iran, the conflict has made Iran stronger and more influential in the region, especially through control of important shipping routes.Key Facts
- The war did not lead to regime change in Iran nor force Iran to agree to U.S. demands.
- Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway for global oil shipments, giving it strong influence.
- Iran’s allies, like the Houthis in Yemen, threaten the Bab al-Mandab strait, another key global trade route.
- Gulf countries are worried about Iran’s growing power and are seeking new security partnerships with regional and global powers.
- The war pushed Iran to adopt a more aggressive strategy, targeting its rivals economically and militarily on multiple fronts.
- Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has gained more power and influence after the conflict began.
- Despite damage to Iran, many Iranians united behind their government during the war, seeing attacks as attacks on their nation.
- President Trump claimed he caused regime change in Iran, but the result was the strengthening of hardliners, not the government’s collapse.
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