Republicans' Chances of Losing Two Key Senate Races—New Polls
Summary
New polls show Democrats Mary Peltola and Chris Pappas leading in the Alaska and New Hampshire Senate races. These elections are important because they could affect control of the U.S. Senate during President Donald Trump’s second term.Key Facts
- Democrats need to gain four Senate seats to take control of the Senate from Republicans.
- Republicans currently have a 53-47 majority in the Senate.
- Alaska’s Senate race uses ranked-choice voting, where voters rank candidates and the lowest vote-getter is eliminated until someone has over 50%.
- In a recent poll, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Senator Dan Sullivan with about 50% support after the second round of ranked-choice voting.
- Alaska usually votes Republican and supported President Trump by 14 points in 2024.
- Democrats see Alaska and New Hampshire as key races to try to flip Senate control.
- Republican Senator Sullivan has won previous races despite being outspent.
- Polling shows President Trump’s approval rating is low, which may affect Republican candidates.
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