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US soldier charged with using Polymarket to bet on Nicolas Maduro abduction

US soldier charged with using Polymarket to bet on Nicolas Maduro abduction

Summary

The U.S. Department of Justice charged an active-duty soldier, Gannon Ken Van Dyke, with using secret military information to make bets on a prediction market platform about the abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. He reportedly made over $400,000 betting on events related to a U.S. military operation in Venezuela.

Key Facts

  • Gannon Ken Van Dyke is a 38-year-old active-duty soldier based at Fort Bragg, North Carolina.
  • He used classified information to place bets on Polymarket about U.S. military actions in Venezuela.
  • Between late December 2025 and early January 2026, he made multiple bets on Maduro being removed from office and a U.S. invasion of Venezuela.
  • Van Dyke allegedly earned more than $400,000 from these bets.
  • He faces charges including violating the Commodity Exchange Act, wire fraud, and unlawful monetary transactions.
  • Each fraud or unlawful transaction charge carries up to 10 years in prison; wire fraud charges can lead to up to 20 years.
  • The U.S. launched a military operation on January 3, 2026, resulting in Maduro’s abduction and the deaths of several Venezuelans and Cubans.
  • Prediction markets like Polymarket allow people to bet on real-world events, and their use has grown under President Donald Trump’s second term.
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