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Democrats' Chances of Flipping New Hampshire Governor's Seat: Poll

Democrats' Chances of Flipping New Hampshire Governor's Seat: Poll

Summary

A new poll shows New Hampshire Governor Kelly Ayotte, a Republican, leading Democratic candidate Cinde Warmington by eight points ahead of the 2026 governor’s race. The poll highlights a competitive political environment in New Hampshire as both parties aim to win key state and federal positions in upcoming elections.

Key Facts

  • Governor Kelly Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington 47% to 39%, according to a University of New Hampshire poll.
  • The poll surveyed 1,295 residents between April 17 and April 21 with a 2.9% margin of error.
  • Ayotte’s favorability rating is 43% favorable and 41% unfavorable; Warmington’s favorability is 16% favorable and 22% unfavorable, with many undecided about Warmington.
  • A previous March poll also showed Ayotte leading Warmington 46% to 39% among registered voters.
  • Warmington announced her campaign in February, focusing on cost-of-living and immigration issues, and opposes new sales or income taxes.
  • New Hampshire also has a competitive Senate race between Democrat Chris Pappas and GOP candidates John Sununu and Scott Brown.
  • The state primary is scheduled for September 8, 2026.
  • Republicans currently hold a slim majority in both the U.S. House and Senate.
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