Australia’s south-east set for drier and hotter winter as BoM forecasts potential El Niño
Summary
South-east Australia is expected to have hotter and drier weather from May to July due to a possible El Niño event developing in the Pacific Ocean. The Bureau of Meteorology predicts below-average rainfall for much of eastern Australia, especially in Queensland and New South Wales, while higher temperatures are likely across most of the country.Key Facts
- An El Niño event happens when ocean waters in the tropical Pacific become warmer than usual, affecting weather patterns.
- El Niño often causes drier and hotter conditions in eastern Australia.
- The World Meteorological Organization sees an increasing chance of El Niño forming later this year.
- Rainfall is forecasted to be below average in Queensland, New South Wales, parts of Victoria, South Australia, and Western Australia from May to July.
- Most of Australia is expected to have higher than average maximum temperatures during this period.
- Weather models show some disagreement, but many suggest sea surface temperatures consistent with El Niño could appear by July.
- Scientists warn that the exact strength and impact of El Niño can vary, depending on where the warmest waters settle.
- Climate change is making temperature increases more noticeable in long-term forecasts for Australia.
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