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How Iran has changed, and how it hasn’t, in two months of war

How Iran has changed, and how it hasn’t, in two months of war

Summary

Two months after strikes by the United States and Israel, Iran’s main government institutions remain intact despite some leadership changes. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) continues to lead military operations and exercise control in politics, the economy, and security, while the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed quickly after the previous leader’s death.

Key Facts

  • U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted Tehran two months ago but Iran’s government structures still operate.
  • President Trump claims “regime change” occurred, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, but his son Mojtaba Khamenei succeeded him.
  • The IRGC holds strong power in military, economic, and street-level control through paramilitary forces.
  • Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, aligned with IRGC leaders, became head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council.
  • The judiciary and hardline parliament continue harsh policies like frequent executions and arrests.
  • State media remains under IRGC or hardline control, using tools like AI to spread government messages.
  • Moderate President Masoud Pezeshkian handles mostly domestic and diplomatic roles but lacks influence.
  • Iran supports allied armed groups in other countries and has involved foreign paramilitary fighters in domestic security.
  • Iranian leaders reject U.S. demands for concessions, viewing them as surrender, and remain ready for further military actions.
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