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When will Strait of Hormuz be ‘safe’ for commercial shipping again?

When will Strait of Hormuz be ‘safe’ for commercial shipping again?

Summary

The Strait of Hormuz has been closed by Iran since February following US-Israel strikes that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader. The United States has imposed a naval blockade and is working to clear mines believed to be placed by Iran, while shipping remains heavily disrupted, affecting global oil and gas supply.

Key Facts

  • The Strait of Hormuz is a key waterway through which 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas pass in normal times.
  • Iran closed the strait after strikes killed its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026.
  • Iran’s new leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has taken control since his father’s death.
  • US President Donald Trump announced a naval blockade of Iranian ports and the strait in mid-April to pressure Iran.
  • About 2,000 ships are stranded, waiting for passage through the Gulf.
  • The US military started mine-clearing operations in the strait using two guided-missile destroyers.
  • Maritime insurers canceled war risk insurance for tankers in the area due to high risk from mines and conflict.
  • Even if reopened, heavy risks and increased insurance costs for ships will remain until the mines are fully cleared.
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