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Democrat Gina Hinojosa's Chances of Beating Greg Abbott in Texas—New Poll

Democrat Gina Hinojosa's Chances of Beating Greg Abbott in Texas—New Poll

Summary

A new Texas poll shows Democratic candidate Gina Hinojosa trailing Republican Governor Greg Abbott ahead of the November election. Abbott seeks a fourth term and leads overall, but Hinojosa performs well among independents, moderates, Black, and Latino voters.

Key Facts

  • Gina Hinojosa is a Democratic state representative running for governor in Texas.
  • Greg Abbott is the current Republican governor seeking his fourth term.
  • A recent poll gave Abbott 48% support and Hinojosa 43%, with 7% undecided.
  • Hinojosa leads by 13 points among independent voters and by 32 points among moderates.
  • Abbott has won Texas governor elections in 2014, 2018, and 2022.
  • Polls show Abbott leading overall, but Hinojosa has strong support in several voter groups including women, Black voters, college-educated, and Gen Z.
  • Some Republicans, like Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, worry about losing control of the Texas House to Democrats.
  • The election will decide whether Texas elects a Democrat governor for the first time since 1990.
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