More UK deaths than births expected every year from now on
Summary
The UK is expected to have more deaths than births every year starting in 2026, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The population growth will slow down, reaching about 71 million by 2034, due to fewer births, more deaths, and lower net migration after Brexit.Key Facts
- Deaths are projected to exceed births in the UK each year from 2026 onward.
- The UK population is expected to grow by 1.7 million between 2024 and 2034, slower than before.
- The population is predicted to peak in the 2050s and then start to decline.
- Between 2024 and 2034, 6.4 million babies are expected to be born and 6.9 million people to die.
- Net migration is expected to add 2.2 million people over the decade but has recently fallen from a peak of nearly one million in 2023 to about 200,000.
- The number of pensioners will grow faster than working-age adults, making up around 20% of the population by 2034.
- The UK will have fewer children, with a drop of about 1.6 million expected by 2034.
- The ageing population will create more pressure on health services, pensions, and public funds.
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