John Cornyn vs. Ken Paxton Chances of Beating James Talarico in Texas—Polls
Summary
A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading potential Republican opponents Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton in the upcoming Texas U.S. Senate race. The poll reflects a competitive race in a state that usually votes Republican, with Talarico ahead by 7-8 points in hypothetical matchups.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed 1,200 registered Texas voters and was conducted by the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project.
- James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by 8 points (42% to 34%) and John Cornyn by 7 points (40% to 33%) in hypothetical general election scenarios.
- Talarico has the highest favorability rating among the three candidates at 39%, compared to Paxton’s 33% and Cornyn’s 31%.
- Cornyn and Paxton have similar unfavorable ratings, around 42-43%, while Talarico’s unfavorable rating is 29%.
- The Republican primary runoff between Cornyn and Paxton is scheduled for May 26.
- Other recent polls show mixed results, with some giving Cornyn a slight lead and others favoring Talarico.
- Texas has traditionally been a Republican stronghold, backing President Donald Trump by a large margin in the 2024 election.
- Talarico’s gains are partly attributed to Republican infighting, his appeal to moderate and independent voters, and challenges faced by President Trump’s party in midterm elections.
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