Trump's Indiana Victory Is the Wrong Kind of Good News for Republicans
Summary
President Donald Trump supported candidates who challenged Republican state senators in Indiana after those senators opposed his redistricting plan. Trump-backed challengers won most of the primaries, showing his influence over Republican voters in those districts. However, these victories came after heavy spending and do not mean Trump has broad support beyond his core Republican voters.Key Facts
- Trump targeted seven Indiana Republican state Senate primaries where incumbents opposed his 2024 redistricting plan.
- Trump-backed challengers won at least five of those seven primary races.
- The defeated senators had joined Democrats to block a plan that would have made Indiana’s House delegation fully Republican.
- Republicans hold 40 of the 50 Indiana Senate seats.
- Trump’s allies spent at least $8.3 million on ads supporting challengers in these mostly low-profile primary races.
- One candidate, Spencer Deery, increased his campaign ad spending from $142,000 in 2022 to $815,000 in 2024 due to heavy outside spending against him.
- Despite big spending, two incumbents resisting Trump’s challengers still looked likely to win.
- The heavy spending per vote in these primaries was much higher than typical levels seen in national elections.
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