Democrats Are Losing Registered Voters as Roy Cooper Tries to Flip Senate
Summary
North Carolina Democrats have lost a significant number of registered voters since 2024, while Republicans have lost fewer. Despite this, Democratic candidate Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in polls for the open Senate seat, largely due to strong support from independent voters and his higher name recognition.Key Facts
- Since November 2024, Democrats in North Carolina lost about 5% of their registered voters; Republicans lost less than 2%.
- Over the past two years, Democrats lost roughly 81,000 registered voters, while Republicans gained about 37,000.
- Unaffiliated or independent voters have grown by over 230,000, making them the largest voter group in the state at about 38%.
- Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley in polls by around 8 points among likely voters.
- Cooper holds strong support among independent voters, with about 52% backing him compared to 32% for Whatley.
- Cooper also has strong backing from Black voters and women, while Whatley leads among white voters and men.
- Cooper is well known in North Carolina, having served as governor and attorney general, while Whatley has no prior elected office experience.
- The national political environment shows many North Carolina voters are dissatisfied with the country’s direction, and President Donald Trump’s approval rating in the state is between 40% and 45%.
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