Republicans' Chances of Losing Alaska Governor and Senate Races—Polls
Summary
A recent poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading in Alaska’s governor primary race, but he does not yet have enough support to win outright. Alaska’s election uses a unique system where voters rank candidates, and the top four from the primary move on to the November general election.Key Facts
- Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy cannot run again because of term limits.
- Alaska has 18 candidates for governor in 2026; 11 were included in the poll.
- The poll was done by Dittman Research from April 27-30, 2026, with 451 likely voters.
- Tom Begich, a Democrat, leads with 21% support in the poll.
- The next highest candidates are Republicans Dave Bronson (7%), Bernadette Wilson (6%), and Click Bishop (6%).
- Alaska uses a jungle primary where all candidates appear on one ballot, and the top four move to the general election.
- In the general election, ranked-choice voting is used: voters rank candidates, and the lowest-scoring candidates are eliminated with their votes shifting to next preferences until a winner has over 50%.
- Poll shows 34% support Republicans in the primary, 31% support Democrats, and 31% remain undecided.
- Prediction markets give Republicans about a 60% chance to win the governor’s race.
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