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How 'Super' El Nino Could Supercharge 2026 Hurricanes

How 'Super' El Nino Could Supercharge 2026 Hurricanes

Summary

Forecasters say there is a 60 percent chance that El Nino, a weather pattern involving warmer Pacific Ocean waters, will develop between May and July. If this becomes a "super" El Nino, it could reduce hurricanes in the Atlantic but increase them in the Pacific during the 2026 hurricane seasons.

Key Facts

  • El Nino is a warming of Pacific Ocean waters that affects global weather patterns.
  • NOAA predicts a 60 percent chance of El Nino forming by mid-2024.
  • There is a 15 to 20 percent chance this will develop into a rare "super" El Nino.
  • A super El Nino means ocean temperatures 2 degrees Celsius above average for months.
  • Super El Ninos usually cause fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean.
  • At the same time, they can cause more hurricanes in the eastern and central Pacific Oceans.
  • AccuWeather experts expect 17–22 named storms in the eastern Pacific this year.
  • El Nino events happen irregularly every 2 to 7 years and influence weather worldwide.
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