What would prolonged war mean for Sudan?
Summary
The war in Sudan is expected to last many years, with leaders from both sides prepared for a long fight. The conflict has caused massive loss of life, displacement, and the collapse of basic services like healthcare and education, severely damaging Sudan’s economy and the wellbeing of its people.Key Facts
- Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces leader said they could fight until 2040 if needed, while Sudan’s army head predicted the war might last until 2033.
- Over 150,000 people have died and nearly 15 million have been forced to leave their homes since fighting started in 2023.
- Around 24 million people face shortages of food, and 19 million lack safe water and proper sanitation.
- Sudan’s government and key services like healthcare and education are near collapse due to the ongoing conflict.
- If the war lasts until 2030, Sudan’s economy will be $34.5 billion smaller by 2043, and extreme poverty could affect over 60% of the population.
- About 70–80% of health facilities in fight zones are damaged or closed, leaving most people without proper medical care.
- More than 19 million children have had their schooling interrupted, with only 20% of schools currently open.
- Healthcare problems now increase risk of future disease outbreaks and worsen health conditions, including high infant mortality.
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