Researchers find 42% drop in Canadians visiting US metro areas amid Trump 2.0
Summary
Researchers from the University of Toronto found a 42% drop in Canadians visiting US cities between April 2024 and March 2026. This decline is bigger than official border data shows and reflects fewer Canadians traveling for tourism, business, and work during President Donald Trump’s second term.Key Facts
- The study used cell phone data to track Canadians visiting US metropolitan areas.
- Official border data showed about a 25% drop, but cell phone data showed a 42% decline.
- Canadians are visiting fewer US cities like New York, San Francisco, Houston, Las Vegas, and Florida.
- Economic factors include tariffs on Canadian goods, especially vehicles, and tougher US immigration enforcement.
- Reduced travel affects US border towns dependent on Canadian visitors.
- The data also captured Canadians living temporarily in the US who may have returned home.
- The decline includes both tourists and business travelers.
- Canadian government data confirmed a 25% drop in Canadians returning from the US in 2025 and a smaller drop (7.5%) in US residents visiting Canada.
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