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California Governor Race Odds Amid Call for Rule Change

California Governor Race Odds Amid Call for Rule Change

Summary

Democratic candidate Xavier Becerra is currently the favorite to win California's governor race, according to betting odds. A new proposal aims to change California's current primary election system from a "top-two jungle" style back to a traditional partisan primary, but any changes would not take effect until at least 2030.

Key Facts

  • California uses a "top-two jungle" primary, where the two candidates with the most votes go to the general election regardless of party.
  • Democrats feared their vote could split among many candidates, risking two Republicans reaching the general election.
  • Democratic strategist Steven Maviglio has proposed ending the jungle primary and returning to a system where each party selects one candidate for the general election.
  • The proposed rule change would require voter approval and would not start before the 2030 election.
  • The proposal has support from some Republicans, including former California GOP chair Ron Nehring.
  • Eric Swalwell, a Democrat and early front-runner, left the race after sexual assault allegations and resigned from Congress; he denies the allegations.
  • Since Swalwell’s exit, Xavier Becerra has gained support and leads the polls and betting odds for governor.
  • California is a reliably Democratic state and has not elected a Republican governor since 2010.
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