AOC Surges to Lead in 2028 Primary for First Time—Most Accurate Pollster
Summary
A recent poll by AtlasIntel shows Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the 2028 Democratic presidential primary for the first time, with 26% support among surveyed voters. Although she has not confirmed a presidential run, she remains a strong progressive figure within the Democratic Party, and the poll reflects growing attention to her potential candidacy.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed 2,069 U.S. adults between May 4-7, 2025, with a margin of error of ±2%.
- Ocasio-Cortez leads with 26% support, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 22.4%, Gavin Newsom at 21.2%, and Kamala Harris at 12.9%.
- AtlasIntel was named the most accurate pollster of the 2024 and 2020 elections by experts Nate Silver and 538.
- Early polls impact candidates’ fundraising, media attention, and name recognition but don’t always predict final results.
- Ocasio-Cortez has expressed that her main goal is to bring lasting policy change rather than focus solely on running for higher office.
- Some Democrats view her progressive policies as potentially a challenge for winning broader swing votes in a general election.
- She is also considered a potential candidate for the U.S. Senate if Senator Chuck Schumer retires or faces a primary challenge.
- The 2028 Democratic primary field is forming, with campaigns expected to start announcing in 2027 after midterm elections.
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