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Thomas Massie's Chances of Beating Trump-Backed Foe With 6 Days to Primary

Thomas Massie's Chances of Beating Trump-Backed Foe With 6 Days to Primary

Summary

Republican Representative Thomas Massie, who has often disagreed with President Donald Trump, is behind Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in the primary race for Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District. The primary will take place on May 19, and it will test how much influence President Trump has within the Republican Party.

Key Facts

  • Thomas Massie is seeking his eighth term in the House of Representatives.
  • Ed Gallrein has been endorsed by President Trump and appeared with him at a rally in March.
  • A recent Quantus Insights poll shows Gallrein leading Massie 48.3% to 43.1%, with about 7.6% undecided.
  • Gallrein has more support from women voters, while Massie leads among men.
  • The primary race has become one of the most expensive House primaries, with over $25 million spent on ads.
  • In previous polls from April, Massie was ahead, showing a shift in voter sentiment toward Gallrein.
  • Prediction markets suggest a very close race, with some showing Massie slightly ahead.
  • The May 19 primary will decide who moves on to the November general election.
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