El Niño Chances Skyrocket as US Impacts Expected Next Month
Summary
The chances of El Niño developing this year have increased sharply, with experts from NOAA predicting it will likely start between May and July 2026. This climate pattern, caused by warming ocean waters in the Pacific, is expected to bring changes in weather such as higher temperatures and more rainfall in parts of the United States starting next month.Key Facts
- NOAA's Climate Prediction Center says there is an 82% chance El Niño will begin from May to July 2026.
- The chance of El Niño continuing through the winter of 2026-27 is about 96%.
- El Niño occurs when the surface water in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean is warmer than average for several months.
- This condition affects global weather, including temperature, rainfall, and storm patterns in the U.S.
- Early impacts expected include higher summer temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
- Increased rain is predicted in the Rocky Mountains and the U.S. Southwest starting in June.
- Rain and thunderstorms in the Southeast U.S. typically increase later, possibly in winter months.
- ENSO is a natural cycle that changes every two to seven years and influences weather worldwide.
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