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Democrats' Chances of Beating GOP In Michigan Governor Race Soar: Charts

Democrats' Chances of Beating GOP In Michigan Governor Race Soar: Charts

Summary

Recent polls show Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leading Republican John James in the race for governor. Polls indicate a shift from a tight race with a three-way tie to Benson gaining a clear lead ahead of the November election.

Key Facts

  • A MIRS/Mitchell Research poll in early May 2026 shows Benson with 42% support, James with 30%, and independent Mike Duggan with 13%.
  • This marks a change from late 2025 when James led Benson by six points.
  • Other recent polls show the race moved from a dead heat to Benson taking the lead.
  • Duggan’s independent campaign influences the race by splitting some votes, but his support has declined.
  • Michigan is considered a swing state, with close and competitive elections.
  • Benson’s campaign focuses on economic issues like lowering costs and raising wages.
  • Political prediction markets give Benson around a 64% chance of winning the governor’s race.
  • Benson’s team criticizes Republicans for focusing on alignment with President Donald Trump and corporate donors.
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