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Lindsey Graham's Chances of Winning South Carolina Senate Race: New Poll

Lindsey Graham's Chances of Winning South Carolina Senate Race: New Poll

Summary

Senator Lindsey Graham leads the Republican primary for the 2026 South Carolina Senate race with 56% support according to a recent poll. He has strong backing from voters and President Donald Trump’s endorsement, making him the likely nominee and a strong contender for the general election.

Key Facts

  • Lindsey Graham leads the South Carolina Republican Senate primary with 56% support in the latest InsiderAdvantage poll.
  • Graham’s nearest challenger, Mark Lynch, has 13% support.
  • The poll surveyed 800 likely Republican primary voters from May 13–14, 2026.
  • Graham’s lead is broad, with strong support across all demographic groups.
  • More than 60% of respondents said Trump’s endorsement helps Graham’s chances.
  • Other polls from 2025 and early 2026 also show Graham leading the field.
  • Prediction markets estimate an 80% chance that Republicans will win the 2026 South Carolina Senate race.
  • South Carolina’s Republican-leaning voters and Graham’s incumbency provide him an advantage.
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