Charles Booker's Chances of Flipping Mitch McConnell's Kentucky Senate Seat
Summary
Kentucky is holding a U.S. Senate race to replace long-time Senator Mitch McConnell, who is not running for reelection. Andy Barr won the Republican primary with former Representative Charles Booker winning the Democratic primary, but Republicans are still favored to keep the seat.Key Facts
- Mitch McConnell, Kentucky’s senator since 1984, announced in February 2025 he would not run again.
- McConnell was once an ally of President Donald Trump but later their relationship soured.
- The open Senate seat caused many candidates on both the Republican and Democratic sides to compete in primaries.
- Andy Barr won the Republican primary with 60.4% of the vote and has Trump’s endorsement.
- Charles Booker won the Democratic primary with 47.1% of the vote.
- Kentucky has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1990s.
- Polls show Republicans have about a 93–95% chance of winning the general election.
- Trump’s endorsement helped Barr consolidate Republican support, but not all voters say it will affect their choice.
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