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Us Coasts at Risk of Early ‘Impactful’ Tropical Storms Due to Super El Niño

Us Coasts at Risk of Early ‘Impactful’ Tropical Storms Due to Super El Niño

Summary

Forecasters warn that the U.S. coasts could face early tropical storms before the official June 1 Atlantic hurricane season starts because a strong El Niño is developing. While El Niño usually reduces hurricane activity in the Atlantic, it can allow weaker, early storms that still cause flooding and tornadoes, especially near the Gulf Coast and Florida.

Key Facts

  • The official Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
  • A "super" El Niño, a strong warming of Pacific Ocean waters, is likely to form between May and July 2026.
  • El Niño typically lowers Atlantic hurricane activity by creating stronger upper-level winds that disrupt storms.
  • Despite this, early-season tropical storms may still happen before El Niño's full effects begin.
  • Early storms can form near the U.S. coast and cause significant impacts like flooding and tornado outbreaks.
  • The National Hurricane Center currently does not expect tropical storms in the next week.
  • NOAA predicts the El Niño event will continue through winter 2026-27.
  • El Niño affects hurricane formation by increasing wind shear and causing less favorable conditions for storms to grow.
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