LA Mayor Election Tracker: Karen Bass' Chances of Beating Spencer Pratt
Summary
Karen Bass is currently leading in the Los Angeles mayoral race, with polls and prediction markets showing her ahead of rivals Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman. The race is becoming closer, with a November runoff likely if no candidate wins a majority in the June primary.Key Facts
- Karen Bass is the current mayor and the Democratic candidate.
- Former Vice President Kamala Harris has endorsed Bass.
- Spencer Pratt, a television personality and registered Republican, is running as an independent.
- Nithya Raman is a Democratic city councilmember also competing.
- Polls from Emerson College in May 2026 show Bass at 30%, Pratt at 22%, and Raman at 19%.
- Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi give Bass about a 66-68% chance to win or reach the runoff.
- Major campaign issues include homelessness, public safety, and response to wildfires in 2025 and ongoing Sandy Fire.
- The top two candidates in the June 2 primary will move to a November runoff if no one wins more than 50% of votes.
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