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Zohran Mamdani-Backed Progressive Poised To Defeat Incumbent Democrat—Poll

Zohran Mamdani-Backed Progressive Poised To Defeat Incumbent Democrat—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows Brad Lander, supported by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, is leading over incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman in the primary race for New York's 10th Congressional District. The poll reflects strong support from progressive voters, especially younger people, as the election approaches on June 23.

Key Facts

  • Brad Lander has 57% support compared to Dan Goldman's 23% in a recent Emerson College poll.
  • The poll surveyed 450 likely voters between May 16-17 with a margin of error of ±4.6%.
  • Dan Goldman is the current representative but is seen by some as less progressive and has faced criticism for his support of Israel.
  • Lander’s strongest support comes from voters under 40, who prefer him 73% to 15%.
  • Older voters (over 70) are more evenly split between Lander and Goldman.
  • An earlier poll from Schoen Cooperman Research showed a closer race but still favored Lander.
  • Prediction markets give Lander a high chance (88% to 94%) of winning the primary.
  • The district includes parts of Manhattan and Brooklyn, with mixed political views depending on the neighborhood.
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