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Jack Schlossberg Chances of Losing in New York House Race—Polls

Jack Schlossberg Chances of Losing in New York House Race—Polls

Summary

Democrat Jack Schlossberg is currently behind in the race for New York’s 12th Congressional District in a Democratic primary. New polls show Assemblyman Micah Lasher and Assemblyman Alex Bores leading, while Schlossberg has dropped in support.

Key Facts

  • Jack Schlossberg, grandson of President John F. Kennedy, is running for New York’s 12th District seat.
  • The seat is open as longtime Representative Jerry Nadler is retiring.
  • The district is strongly Democratic and supported Vice President Kamala Harris by a large margin over President Donald Trump in 2024.
  • Recent polls show Lasher leading with about 22%, Bores close behind at 20%, and Schlossberg at 11%.
  • Around one-third of voters in the primary remain undecided.
  • Other candidates include George Conway, Chris Diep, Laura Dunn, Nina Schwalbe, and Patrick Timmins.
  • Polls have margins of error around 4–5 percentage points.
  • Winning the primary will almost guarantee winning the general election given the district's political leaning.
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