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James Talarico’s Chances Against Cornyn vs. Paxton 4 Days Before Runoff

James Talarico’s Chances Against Cornyn vs. Paxton 4 Days Before Runoff

Summary

Texas Republicans are holding a primary runoff election between Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton to decide who will run against Democrat James Talarico in the November Senate race. Recent polls and prediction markets show a very close race with Talarico having a strong chance to win, making this a competitive election in Texas.

Key Facts

  • Texas Republicans are choosing between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in a primary runoff ending soon.
  • The winner will face Democrat James Talarico in the November Senate election.
  • Prediction markets give Republicans about a 55% chance to keep the seat and Democrats about 45%.
  • Polls show a tight race with many voters undecided, and no candidate over 50%.
  • A Texas Southern University poll shows Cornyn and Talarico nearly tied, 45% to 44%.
  • Polls also show Talarico tied or slightly ahead against both Cornyn and Paxton.
  • Cornyn is seen as a safer choice for Republicans to hold moderate voters.
  • Paxton is backed by President Trump and appeals to Trump-aligned voters but has legal issues that could affect his chances.
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