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Premier League predictions - how accurate were BBC Sport pundits?

Premier League predictions - how accurate were BBC Sport pundits?

Summary

BBC Sport asked 33 football experts to predict the Premier League standings for last season, but most guesses were wrong. While six pundits correctly chose Arsenal as champions, no one predicted the exact top four order, and even a computer model and AI made inaccurate predictions.

Key Facts

  • 33 BBC TV and radio football pundits made Premier League predictions last summer.
  • Twenty-one pundits thought Liverpool would win the league, but none got more than two teams in the top four right.
  • Six pundits correctly picked Arsenal as champions.
  • Only Matthew Upson predicted the correct top two teams in the right order.
  • Opta’s computer model gave Liverpool a 28.5% chance to retain the title but was incorrect in its full prediction.
  • AI using Microsoft Copilot Chat predicted Manchester City as champions but was also wrong.
  • Most fans voting on the BBC website also expected Liverpool to win, with Arsenal, Manchester City, and Chelsea to finish in the top four.
  • This season's pundit predictions included only four teams in the top four, matching the actual top four teams.
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