Mike Lindell’s Chances of Winning Minnesota Primary, Beating Democrat
Summary
Mike Lindell, CEO of MyPillow and supporter of former President Donald Trump’s election fraud claims, is running in the 2026 Minnesota Republican primary for governor. Polls and betting markets suggest he is unlikely to win the primary or the general election against expected Democratic candidates.Key Facts
- Mike Lindell entered the Minnesota governor race in December 2025.
- Governor Tim Walz will not seek a third term, opening up the race.
- Lindell’s campaign claims he leads in internal polls, but independent polls show a close race among Republicans.
- Prediction markets favor Lisa Demuth over Lindell to win the Republican primary.
- No Republican has won statewide office in Minnesota since 2006.
- Minnesota narrowly voted for Democratic presidential candidates in recent elections.
- General election polls show Democrat Amy Klobuchar leading Lindell by around 20 percentage points.
- Minnesota’s Republican primary is set for August 11, 2026.
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